There are some interesting observations on the Covid-19 disease revealing that it doesn't appear to be normal pneumonia or ARDS (Acute respiratory distress syndrome), but a failure of the body's oxygenation system, due to an attack by the virus on the hemoglobin, transporting oxygen and CO2 through the blood. Check the video below with observations... Continue Reading →
Rough forecasts for Covid-19 in 12 countries (regular updates)
UPDATE May 11: All 12 countries in the forecast are now at about 5 deaths per million per day or lower, Sweden being highest and most behind. In the beginning of June, all countries will probably be at 1 death per million per day or lower. What will happen when lockdowns are being lifted is... Continue Reading →
Update on Covid-19: Sweden remains below Italy, Spain’s forecast greatly improved
In an earlier post I tried to give a picture of the situation of the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy, Spain and Sweden, on March 26. Here’s an update from April 1st. Note that I'm not an epidemiologist, but I know mathematics and I’m showing what the data might tell us. The forecast is based... Continue Reading →
Covid-19: We have to push down daily growth below 10 percent
How is Sweden doing in the Covid-19 pandemic? Will we manage without a lockdown, in contrast to many other countries? The short answer: Possibly yes, IF we continue to slow down the spread of infection. The long answer: Let's have a look at what the curves tell us. Firstly: The number of total confirmed cases... Continue Reading →